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2026 PGA Championship Odds and Expert Predictions: Scheffler, McIlroy Lead the Battle at Aronimink
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2026 PGA Championship Odds and Expert Predictions: Scheffler, McIlroy Lead the Battle at Aronimink

May 13, 2026

Overview of the 2026 PGA Championship at Aronimink Golf Club

The upcoming 2026 PGA Championship is set to take place at Aronimink Golf Club in Newtown Square, Pennsylvania. This marks only the second major hosted by the course, which is renowned for its fast, contoured greens and challenging layout. The tournament begins early Thursday morning, with tee times starting at 6:45 a.m. ET, promising an exciting competition among the world’s top golfers.

Current Favorites and Title Contenders

Based on latest odds and expert analysis, Scottie Scheffler remains the top favorite to defend his title and make history as the first player since Tiger Woods (2006-2007) to win back-to-back PGA Championships. Scheffler’s odds are set at +480, reflecting his consistent top-level play over recent years. Coming off a dominant victory at Quail Hollow last year, Scheffler’s performance at Aronimink will be closely watched, especially since he has yet to compete there before.

Rory McIlroy is also a strong contender, with odds at +950. McIlroy has a storied history at the PGA Championship, with two victories and four top-3 finishes, making him a perennial threat. Notably, he aims to become the first golfer since 1975 to win both the Masters and the PGA Championship in the same year. His previous appearance at Aronimink in 2018 resulted in a solid fifth-place finish, adding to his familiarity with the course.

Historical Context and Unique Records at Stake

Several players are chasing significant milestones this year. Brooks Koepka, with odds at +3500, seeks to become the fourth player in history to win at least four PGA Championships. Jordan Spieth is also in the mix, looking to complete the career Grand Slam, a feat achieved by only a select few.

These storylines add extra drama and significance to the event, making it a compelling major for golf fans worldwide.

Expert Predictions and Model Simulations

SportsLine’s proprietary golf betting model, developed by DFS expert Mike McClure, has a proven track record, having correctly predicted 17 major winners, including recent tournaments like the 2026 Masters and last year’s PGA Championship. The model runs extensive simulations—10,000 iterations—taking into account player form, course conditions, and historical performances to generate highly accurate predictions.

According to these simulations, Cameron Young (+1200), despite his breakout season and recent victories, is predicted to struggle at Aronimink, failing to finish in the top five due to his inconsistent putting and lack of experience on the course.

Meanwhile, Scheffler (+480) is projected to contend strongly, potentially becoming the first back-to-back PGA champion in over two decades. McIlroy (+950) is also forecasted to be among the top finishers, leveraging his experience and previous success at Aronimink and other majors.

Longshots and Value Bets

The model also identifies several longshot contenders, including players going off at higher odds, such as around 60-1. While these players carry more risk, they could yield substantial returns for those who pick wisely.

What to Expect at Aronimink

Golf fans can anticipate a tournament filled with strategic play and intense competition. The course’s challenging greens and fast conditions will test even the most seasoned pros. The performance of key players like Scheffler and McIlroy will be pivotal, but surprises are always possible in major championships.

How to Follow the Action and Make Bets

Betting is available through platforms like DraftKings Sportsbook, where new users can receive bonuses to place their bets. As the tournament progresses, staying updated with expert predictions, live odds, and analysis will enhance the viewing experience and betting strategy.

For comprehensive predictions, including potential winners, projected leaderboard, and longshot picks, be sure to consult the model’s insights and analyses from trusted sources.

Conclusion

The 2026 PGA Championship at Aronimink promises to be a captivating event, with top contenders vying for the coveted green jacket. With the favorites like Scheffler and McIlroy in prime form and expert models predicting tight contests, golf enthusiasts should prepare for four days of exceptional golf action.

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